Preliminary--COMMENTS WELCOME How Do Incumbents Respond to the Threat of Entry? essay from the major Airlines* Austan Goolsbee University of kale, GSB American Bar Foundation and NBER goolsbee@gsb.uchicago.edu Chad Syverson University of Chicago and NBER syverson@uchicago.edu and sea captain swig: May 2004 Current Draft: July 2004 Abstract This piece tests how incumbents resolve to the threat of entry of competitors, as distinguished from their response to competitors essential entry. It uses a case study from the passenger skyway attentionspecifically, the evolution of s emergehwestern United States Airlines path networkto learn particular proposition routes where the probability of future entry rises abruptly. When sou-west begins operating in airports on both sides of a route but non the route itself, this dramatically raises the chance they will operate brief that route in the near future. We examine the price of the incumbents on threatened routes in the period surrounding much(prenominal) events. We hazard that incumbents cut prices significantly when threatened by Southwests entry into their routes. This is true even after imperative in several ways for airport-specific operating costs.

The response of incumbents seems to be limited only to the threatened route itself, and not to routes out of nigh competitor airports where Southwest does not operate (e.g., diets cat on routes from Chicago Midway but not Chicago OHare). The largest responses appear to be restricted to routes that were concentrated beforehand. Incumbents do exist short-run improvers in their passenger loads simultaneous with these fare cuts. This is consisten t with theories implying incumbents will try! to generate well-nigh longer-term faithfulness among current customers before the entry of a virgin competitor. We examine evidence relating this motive to build demand seam to patronise flyer programs and find suggestive evidence in regard of this notion. There is only weak evidence that incumbents increase potentiality on...If you want to get a full essay, straddle it on our website:
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